Saturday, January 6, 2018

NFL Wild Card Playoff Picks

I'm far from an expert and, honestly, I don't even watch that much football. But I wanted to get on the playoff enthusiasm and make some picks for the wild card weekend playoff results. I've bolded my picks against the spread given the lines listed on ESPN. Hopefully I don't go 0-4.

Titans @ Chiefs (-8.5)
I know that the Andy Reid jokes are already locked and loaded as we head into this game, but the guy is still a great coach. He blows some close games and he's lost more NFC Championship games than I care to admit, but he's also gotten to all those games. I don't believe in the Titans one bit and I think the Chiefs will take it to them. I'm rooting for Andy and, heck, I'm rooting for Alex Smith.

Falcons  @ Rams (-6)
This is one of the trickier games for me personally. I'm absolutely terrified of the Rams as an Eagles fan. I think we have a good run defense, but we couldn't even come close to stopping Todd Gurley when we faced him. The Falcons have a ton of upside and experience, but they have also been inconsistent and inefficient. Barring a huge Julio Jones day, I think this game should be a big win for the Rams. Their offense is scary and their defense knows how to bring pressure. I like the Wade Phillips coaching x-factor.

Bills (+8.5)  @ Jaguars
I think the Jags will probably win this game, but I'm not comfortable with an 8.5 point line. If McCoy is healthy enough to make plays, he's a huge x-factor, but I'm pretty nervous about that ankle. Still, I like Sean McDermott as a coach, I think Bortles could keep the game close and I don't expect either offense to be particularly explosive. Some are afraid of how much the Bills celebrated last week, but I'm not buying this as a let down performance. I think they rise to the occasion.

Panthers (+7)  @ Saints
Again, I think the Saints probably win. However, I think a division opponent is always tough. Beating one team three times will be hard for the Saints even if the Panthers have basically no receivers. I respect Cam and I actually am not a believer in Drew Brees. Maybe it's just my fantasy team woes with him, but I think he may be starting to crest over the hill. The running game likely still advances these guys, but I think the Panthers make it a game with pride on the line.

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